Discussion Paper
1. A changing Australia
Winning elections requires reaching out and earning majority support of the electorate.
The Australian electorate has changed significantly over time. For example...
Ancestry:
- In 1947, around 10 percent of Australians were born overseas.
- In 1996, 23 percent of Australians were born overseas (13 percent in Europe, 5 percent in Asia).
- By 2021, 29 percent of Australians were born overseas (9 percent in Europe, 13 percent in Asia).
- Currently, around 32 percent of Australians were born overseas.
Religion:
- In 1947, 88 percent of Australians described themselves as Christian.
- In 1996, 71 percent of Australians described themselves as Christian (4 percent other religion, 17 percent no-religion).
- By 2021, 44 percent of Australians described themselves as Christian (10 percent other religion, 39 percent no-religion).
Household:
- In 1976, 46 percent of households included couples with children.
- In 1991, 37 percent of households included couples with children.
- By 2021, 30 percent of households included couples with children.
In the Party’s history, the way Australians live, interact and consume information has continually changed.
For example:
- In the late-1940s, Australia had around one car per 14-15 people. A vast majority regularly read a newspaper or listened to radio. TV had not been invented.
- In the mid-1990s, Australia had around one car per 2 people. They watched an average 2.4 hours of free to air TV per day and a clear majority read newspapers and listened to radio. The internet was only in its infancy.
- Today, Australia has around one car per 1.3 people. The media landscape is very fragmented with much less free to air TV (an average 0.7 hours per day) and 87% of adults regularly using social media.
For those who have been following politics for a long time, here is another reality check…
By the next election, almost one in five voters (around 19%) will have been born after the year 2000.
Realistically, they will have no historical memory of:
- September 11.
- The Howard Government.
- A world without smart phones.
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